Escalating violence in Egypt following the army's ouster of President Mohammed Morsi brings about the question of whether the country is being dragged into a civil war. Experts on the issue agree that the violence would further increase if the army continued to keep the Muslim Brotherhood outside the political sphere.
Speaking to Anadolu Agency, British think-tank Chatham House’s Middle East and Northern Africa expert David Butter said Monday's assault during the morning prayer caused the violence to escalate. Stating that those who support Morsi also took part in acts of violence, Butter added that army and security officials were the ones to be ashamed the most.
Prof. Dr. Augustus Richard Norton from the Boston University International Relations Department defined the military coup as a historical mistake, and added thar unless a transition goverment including all sides is founded, the polarization would reach dangerous levels.
Norton expressed his hope for Turkish-US cooperation to prevent the deepening of the crisis.
Stating that the choices of the Egyptian military and the leadership of the Muslim Brotherhood in the aftermath of violence would directly shape Egypt's trajectory in this transitional period, Assoc. Prof. Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl from the Virginia University Woodrow Wilson Politics Department said, "However, it is clear that although the Muslim Brotherhood may reject a role in the transition now underway in Egypt, providing the possiblity of such a role is the surest way for the transitional government and the Egyptian military to defuse the situation."
Schulhofer-Wohl predicted that should the leadership of the Brotherhood decide that no avenues of participation remain available to it in Egypt's current political process, it would likely pursue one of three strategies: waiting for an opportunity to participate and continuing to organize politically; non-violent mass protest; or violent opposition to the military.
"The second and third strategies increase the possibility that violence will escalate between supporters of the Brotherhood on the one hand, and backers of the military's ouster of President Morsi and the military itself on the other," said Schulhofer-Wohl. He added, "If, however, the Brotherhood concludes that it can still participate actively in Egyptian politics, then there will be less risk of conflict."
Schulhofer-Wohl also pointed out that army's choice of whether to give the Muslim Brotherhood some kind of role in the transitional government or not, as well as its choice of whether to react to expressions of opposition by the Brotherhood in a nonviolent or violent way, would be determinative.
Prof. Dr. Raymond Hinnebusch from Britain's St Andrew University International Relations Department said, "I would not expect Egypt to unravel as Syria has done since it is a more homogeneous society; especially since there is the possibility of holding relatively free elections; but unrest and tension are likely to rise, especially in the Sinai."
Denial comes day after Saudi court sentences 15 to death for allegedly passing classified material to Tehran
SANA said the missiles were fired from a position "west of Tal Abu Nada", a mountain in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights known as Mount Avital in Israel.
The Myanmar cuts flow of migrant workers to Malaysia amid diplomatic spat
Socotra lies in the Indian Ocean closer to the coast of Somalia than the Yemeni mainland.
Assad regime attacks leave 200 injured in opposition-controlled areas of Aleppo, local source says
Since mid-November, more than 775 civilians have been killed and 2,500 others injured in Aleppo
Avigdor Lieberman says Israel knew that German submarine manufacturer had Iranian partners
Jailed Palestinian activist Marwan Barghouti was recently elected to senior post within movement
Local defense source says that army jet bombed residential area
Tens of thousands of east Aleppo residents have fled to other parts of the city to escape the fighting, which has raised widespread international concern.
Country’s first freely elected president, Mohamed Morsi was ousted and jailed during Egypt’s bloody 2013 army coup
Powers face backlash after rejecting pause to fighting for humanitarian aid delivery
The bill has severely tested Netanyahu's coalition, seen as the most right-wing in Israeli history. A previous version was given preliminary approval last month.
Army’s newly-released promotional video encourages tourists to visit biblical sites in Israeli-occupied West Bank
7-year-old Bana Alabed had tweeted about persistent attacks on eastern Aleppo by Assad regime and ally Russia