Merkel eyes third term in German vote

Opinion polls show Chancellor Merkel's CDU/CSU alliance in the lead, but the composition of Germany's next coalition government is far from certaine

Merkel eyes third term in German vote

World Bulletin/News Desk

German voters head to the polls on Sunday and are expected to hand Chancellor Angela Merkel a third term in office, but the composition of the future coalition government remain far from clear.

An opinion poll released on Friday gave the conservative CDU/CSU alliance 39 percent, well ahead of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) on 26 percent. Merkel’s coalition partner Free Democratic Party (FDP) whose national support is put at 6 percent, barely crosses the 5 percent threshold, according to the latest Emnid poll.

Various other polls also suggest that event if the FDP crosses the election threshold, conservatives and liberals may not to gain the majority of the seats at the federal parliament, or Bundestag.

If the FDP fails to get a support rate of 5 percent, or the two partners fail to get a majority at the federal parliament, Merkel's conservative alliance may be forced to form a coalition with the center-left SPD.

Grand Coalition not an easy option

Social Democrats declared earlier that the party's preferred coalition partner would be the Greens, and they are widely expected to insist on their key demands for establishing a “Grand Coalition” with the conservative Christian Democrats. 

Between 2005 and 2009, CDU/CSU alliance and the SPD formed a Grand Coalition government. But this time SPD has declared that it would first ask the approval of the party delegates before starting negotiations for forming such a coalition.

SPD supports Turkey’s EU membership process and has promised to work for “dual citizenship” right for Germany’s large Turkish community. Merkel’s Christian Democrats are against a “full EU membership” perspective to Turkey and they oppose “dual citizenship” right for Turkish immigrants.

Unlike the previous election campaigns, this time Turkey’s EU process was not among the hotly debated issues. But the Euro crisis and the growing popularity of a new Eurosceptic movement shows that headaches await Merkel in her new term.

AfD poses challenge for Merkel

The seven month old Alternative for Germany (AfD) party demands an orderly dismantling of the Eurozone and for Germany, returning to the Deutsche Mark.

Polls show Alternative for Germany (AfD) on 4 percent but its growing popularity in internet and social media shows that it can cross the 5 percent threshold, which would risk CDU/CSU alliance and FDP’s majority in the federal parliament.

Despite the Eurozone's long-running sovereign debt crisis the German economy continued to grow in the last three years. Germany's unemployment rate – around 6.8 percent in August – is near its lowest in two decades.

But opinion polls show high levels of opposition, with German voters to the Eurozone rescue packages that worth hundreds of millions euros. Germans are also complaining about the high tax rates in the country.

34 parties, 4,451 candidates

34 parties will take part in Sunday’s election and 4,451 candidates are running for seats at the federal parliament, including 1,149 women.

Around 100 candidates with migration background, 66 of them of Turkish origin are standing for election on Sunday. 10 of them have a solid chance of securing a seat in the Bundestag, or federal parliament.

61.8 million German citizens are eligible to vote. Among them 5 million voters are with immigration background. The number of German-Turkish voters is estimated to be around 700,000.

About 3 million young Germans will be voting for the first time in Sunday’s election. 3.6 percent of the voters are aged between 18-21.

Voting takes place in 80,000 schools and other public buildings across the country. It begins at 8 a.m. by local time (0600 GMT) and ends at 6 p.m.

Each voter has two votes in the elections to the German Bundestag. The first vote, allows voters to elect their local representatives from the constituencies. The second vote is cast for a party list.

The first exit polls will be released by public television stations ARD and ZDF at 6 p.m.

In the last federal election in 2009, voter turnout was 70.8 percent.

 

Last Mod: 22 Eylül 2013, 11:59
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