World Bulletin/News Desk
A recent article titled “Mathematics and Egyptians Don't Mix: June 30 Protests Figures” assessing whether the alleged number of millions of anti-Morsi protestors could have actually fit into the claimed areas of Cairo.
The author Shereef Ismail, who himself expresses dissatisfaction with Morsi, explains that he was motivated to do the calculations regarding the maximum number of people who could fit into the said squares after hearing of an unbelievable high number of protestors reaching 17 to 33 million on June 30.
The author acknowledges that his calculations are very generous so as to generate the very largest number of protestors who could have possibly fit into the claimed squares and streets if all had been packed with just protestors, rather than food carts, etc.
The generous calculations yield the results that at most an exaggeratedly high figure of 700,000 protestors could have been on the streets of Cairo, which accounts for 25 percent of the Egyptian population.
By extension, at most 2.9 people could have been protesting the Morsi administration throughout the whole of Egypt.
The author expresses his uneasiness with these calculations as they reveal their grave implications for democracy and freedom in Egypt.
He mourns that the numbers “raise a claim as to how a democratically elected president was removed from office due to protests by what does not even represent 5% of the entire Egyptian population and barely represents 5% of the portion of said population that has a right to vote in Egypt.”
The intentionally overestimated numbers are then used to address the claims to rights and democracy made by the opposition movement against Morsi.
The conclusion reached is that “this annuls the claimed legitimacy of the Tamarod (Rebel) movement, takes away their right to speak on behalf of the entirety of the Egyptian population. It also raises a big question mark around the number of the signatures they claim to have obtained.”
The calculations are based off the Ittihadiya Palace area and Tahrir Square where the protests took place, and the assumption that a single person requires a mere area of 0.45 square meters.
The maximum area of the entire region around Tahrir Square is 128,791 SQM, and could have accommodated for at most 286,602 possible protesters if all streets had been full, which was not the case for Sheikh Rehan Street and Mohammad Mahmoud Street.
Likewise the area surrounding Ittihadiya Palace is at most 170,156 SQM and could fit 378,124 protesters, making 700,000 the absolute maximum number that could have filled the streets if they had been crammed with only protestors.
The author asks why the Egyptian media would spread such impossibly exaggerated numbers, and even falsely claim that Google Earth, CNN and BBC were reporting such figures.
He suggests that among any possible answers is the “need to facilitate the "Military Coup" and make us believe it isn't one.” He also attacks their faulty reporting given that they were the same channels which expressed that merely hundreds protested during the January 25 revolution.
Based on the discrepancy between the actually possible figures and the alleged tens of millions, the author presents the following unsettling conclusions:
“The first is using unsubstantiated numbers to claim legitimacy is a flawed argument in and of itself.
“The second fact that stands even clearer is that Egyptians, whether they intended it or not, and whether they admit it or not, are living a Military Coup.”Last Mod: 16 Temmuz 2013, 17:33