Mohammad Pervez Bilgrami
The July 3, 2013 bloody coup in Egypt which ousted the country’s first democratically elected President, Mohamed Morsi, was not merely a coup against the nascent democracy in the most populous country of the Arab world, but also the most ominous beginning of a process to create a new dictator in the 21st century---definitely a reverse gear of ‘Making a new World Order’ much hyped at the dawn of the new millennium.
When the Egypt's military Chief, Abdel Fatah Al-Sisi, usurped the power with the help of the United States (US), the European Union (EU) and the patronage of key members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), his coup regime systematically blocked all the opposition media in the country, barred international media from covering the state atrocities and curbed all political oppositions with the brutal force. Since then the Military regime has killed thousands of anti-coup protestors, arrested and tortured many more while Al-Sisi, the de-facto ruler of the country deliberately procrastinated his Presidential ambitions in an attempt to confuse the ordinary Egyptians.
As expected, Al-Sisi has announced his candidacy for the Presidential elections slated to be held on 26 and 27 May 2014. Like other dictators and autocrats in the region, he is set for a landslide victory. The western powers along with the GCC led by Saudi Arabia are backing the dictator to re-establish Mubarak era’s autocratic and oppressive regime, rather with more vengeance, in Egypt. There is little or no mention of daily killings taking place in Egypt in the mainstream western media, and the silence of World powers clearly indicates that the manufacturing of a dictator in the 21st century is in full swing. Ironically, their much-hyped ‘Arab Spring’ was nothing but a big hoax; the west has always been making to perpetuate their imperialism in the third world countries, of course, with the help of their stooges manufactured by them in such countries.
On the other hand, the state in Egypt is crumbling due to a huge law and order deficit and enormous economic instability. More recently, a tribal war in the south that prompted by the poor law and order situation under the military rule has resulted in dozens of deaths and injuries. The ruling elites in Egypt are out of touch with the realities on the ground, and they not working as a coherent group; they don't have any strategy other than staying in power, no matter, whatever be the consequences of their reckless actions.
Egypt is deeply divided into two classes, the ruling class of approximately 10% and the rest of the Egyptian people; the ruling class embedded in the society by the dictators who ruled the country for more than six decades. The ruling class has been progressively isolated from the rest of the people; today, they are almost like a foreign occupier.
The issue in Egypt is not only the creation of Al- Sisi as a dictator; it is the ruling elite along with their international backers and partners who have produced Al-Sisi for their vested interested, and are determined to run the country under the same old Judicio-military tutelage.
Life in post-coup Egypt is highly Paradoxical; few people have everything and the rest are suffering from acute shortage of basic necessities of life is absolutely gloomy with people in every neighbourhood seeing neighbour’s and friends mourning at the death of loved ones or at the arrest of family members.
Though people’s awareness is slowly but surely increasing yet society is still deeply divided. There are many die-hard army supporters while others have switched positions and have at least condemned the murders and taken a neutral stance. Though their influence on the streets or on opinions is apparently limited, it has huge strategic significance with the potential of changing the tide in due course. The biggest challenge for the anti-coup group is being able to engage those now holding a neutral position with little or no media resources. It is extremely difficult to reach them properly as all the opposition media are blocked. The only recourse for them to express their opposition is demonstrations, and these, too, are officially banned. Taking their message to the wider population is extremely difficult for them.
Al- Sisi's run for the Presidential election has been a significant eye opener to the naive Egyptians who had sought their political problem by supporting the military junta.
The Muslim Brotherhood, from which President Morsi hails, had a pitiable response to the influence of the media especially during Morsi's "Rule." Its fabricating propaganda proved to be disastrous; but the fact that the coup regime cannot provide the masses with solid proof of any MB affiliation to terrorism or violence leaves many sceptical.
The final blow to the junta regime will be Al-Sisi's inability to provide solutions to Egypt’s acute economic and social problems. This is inevitable; and the next uprising could very well be a hunger revolution in which Egyptians would come out to save their country from the regime of coup elites.
Like any other authoritarian regime in the world, Egypt is a country ruled by the Military in an authoritarian manner for more than six decades. It has developed a separate and distinct class that forms the backbone of the bureaucratic state. This class is very much connected to the military, by personal influence or by direct relations or by social, political and economic favours.
It remains to be seen how long the Gulf money will be able to sustain this manufactured dictator who depends largely on western technology and marketing intelligence in order to be made appealing to a world audience. The harsh reality is that no intelligent investor likes to continue investing in superfluous projects, and the sharp marketer quickly loses interest in selling the same.
As for the social segments being taken for granted to contribute towards the ongoing process of manufacturing a dictator out of a bloody coup leader, it is of crucial importance for them to decide whether their country’s long-term future is safe with the junta or the junta-turned dictatorial president. The country’s history of the past decades will be of great help to the people provided they study it objectively, uninfluenced by the region’s monarchs and autocrats who perceive their existence threatened in case a true democracy is allowed to take roots in Egypt.
Most importantly, the vast majority of the common people in Egypt will have to guard themselves against the divisive politics of such vested interests. The whole world, particularly the Muslim world, is watching curiously “Whither goes Egypt, the cradle of human civilization?”Last Mod: 14 Nisan 2014, 11:11